logo.cnr

ABS15 - 2015 Applied Bayesian Statistics School

MODERN BAYESIAN METHODS AND COMPUTING FOR THE SOCIAL SCIENCES

Villa del Grumello, Como, Italy

June, 8-12, 2015







Programme
 
                                                              
Monday June 8

· [13.00-          ] Registration
· [14.00-16.00]
Introduction to Bayesian Methods,  Hierarchical Modeling in Quantitative Research
· [16.00-16.30] Coffee Break

· [16.30-17.50] Participants' Talks (click on the title to see the abstract)


                            
16:30-16:50 
D. Briscolini: "Bayesian estimation of a total population under linkage uncertainty"



16:50-17:10
A. Corbella: "Deterministic modelling of infectious diseases: monitoring H1N1 virus in UK"


17:10-17:30
O. Ekici: "Estimation of the survival of industries with Approximate Bayesian Computation"



17:30-17:50 
N. Frans: "The predictive validity and stability of standardized assessment in early childhood education"




 





Tuesday June 9

· [09.00-11.00] Specifying Bayesian Regression Models
· [11.00-11.30]
Coffee Break
· [11.30-13.00]
Markov chain Monte Carlo Theory
· [13.00-14.30] Lunch at Villa del Grumello
· [14.30-16.30] Participants' Talks 
(click on the title to see the abstract)


14:30-14:50 
A. Johnson: "Indicators and Individuals are Both Variables: Simulating Alternative Parameterizations of Micro-to-Macro Models in Small Groups and Teams Research"

                            
14:50-15:10
S. Khuntia: "Bayesian-based electrical load forecasting in three time-horizons"



15:10-15:30   A. Lorenzo-Arribas: "Bayesian approaches to ordinal response data modelling in social sciences"


15:30-15:50
K. Mädamürk: "Development of Calculation and Word Problem Solving from Third to Fifth Grade"



15:50-16:10
M. Mazzoleni: "Control System and automation lab"



16:10-16:30 M. Pereira: "Integrated Bayesian approach to incorporate prior biological knowledge in the investigation of the effects of genetic variants on continuous disease traits"



         · [17.30-18.30]  Lecture (open to the public) by Prof. Jeff Gill  (click on the title to see the abstract) 

"To be Bayesian, or not to be: that is the question in the social sciences"



Wednesday June 10

· [09.00-11.00] Implementing Bayesian Hierarchical Models Specifying Bayesian Regression Models in JAGS
· [11.00-11.30]
Coffee Break
· [11.30-13.30]
Practical Session
· [13.30-          ] Free afternoon and evening


Thursday June 11

· [09.00-11.00] Specifying Bayesian Regression Models in JAGS
· [11.00-11.30]
Coffee Break
· [11.30-13.00]
Multilevel Model Assessment
· [13.00-14.30] Lunch at Villa del Grumello
· [14.30-16.30] Practical Session
· [19.30-          ]
Social Dinner


Ristorante Osteria l'Angolo del Silenzio
http://www.osterialangolodelsilenzio-como.com/


Friday June 12

· [09.00-10.30] Diagnostics, Convergence, and Summarization
· [10.30-11.00]
Coffee Break
· [11.00-13.00]
Practical Session