Fabrizio Ruggeri

Research Director at the Italian National Research Council in Milano

Highlights

Forthcoming invited talks and courses

  • 31/8/2018 Final panel at 9th biennial IFC Conference on "Are post-crisis statistical initiatives completed?", Basel, Switzerland
  • 9-10/2018 Seminars and Course on Time Series at Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Honduras, Tegucigalpa, Honduras
  • 5-9/11/2018 2018 Statistics Week Taiwan, Taipei, Taiwan
  • 12/11/2018 National Taiwan University of Science and Technology, Taipei, Taiwan
  • 14/11/2018 National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan
  • 11/2018 Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Valparaiso, Valparaiso, Chile
  • 2-3/2019 Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana

Education

B.Sc. Mathematics - University of Milano
M.Sc. Statistics - Carnegie Mellon University
Ph.D. Statistics - Duke University

Current Research
  • Robust Bayesian Analysis for Generalized Extreme Value Models
  • Software Testing and Adversarial Risk Analysis
  • Hypothesis testing in presence of adversaries
  • Adversarial classification: An adversarial risk analysis approach
  • Assessing Supply Chain Cyber Risks
  • Dynamic linear models for policy monitoring. The case of maternal and neonatal mortality in Ghana
  • Advances in Bayesian Games and Decisions in Reliability
  • Project Risk Management under Dynamic Environments
  • Bayesian model for mapping in the presence of underreported data: the case of neonatal deaths in Minas Gerais
  • Bivariate Extension of Classes of Priors based on Stochastic Orders and Distortion Functions
  • Modeling of air pollution evolution through blocks of Haar wavelets
  • Combining opinions for use in Bayesian Networks: a Measurement Error Approach
  • Encoding partial pairwise comparisons allowing experts to be incomplete, incoherent, uncertain or inaccurate: variable choice for input to species distribution modelling
  • Combining Elicited Probabilities in Bayesian Belief Networks
  • Comparison not Calibration of Probabilities in Bayesian Networks: Eliciting Marginal Probabilities from Multiple Experts with Uncertainty
  • Computationally Efficient Simulation of Queues: The R Package queuecomputer
  • Likelihood-Free Parameter Estimation for Dynamic Queueing Networks
  • Endogenous and Exogenous Effects in Self-exciting Process Models of Terrorist Activity
  • Modelling the Spread of Terrorism Via Diffusion and Contagion
  • Bayesian Network Learning and Inferencing With Uncertain Evidence and Parameters
  • Parametric survival analysis of hospital ward MRSA incidence allowing for carryover effect from previous cases
  • Bayesian Robustness in Change Point Analysis
  • Bayesian modeling of virtual age in repairable systems
  • A Self-Exciting Process with Latent Variables for Software Failures
  • Bayesian co-clustering models in healthcare fraud detection
  • Birnbaum-Saunders ANOVA method applied to fatigue of nanomaterials
  • Statistical quality control using the Birnbaum-Saunders distribution
  • Recent developments in non-industrial applications of control charts and identification of future trends using a bibliometric study of current research
  • An asymmetric area model-based approach with link functions for small area estimation applied to survey data
  • A new estimator for the covariance of the PLS coefficients estimator with applications to chemical data
  • Bayesian models for software reliability using metrics information
Interests
  • Adversarial Risk Analysis
  • Bayesian Analysis
  • Bayesian Decision Theory
  • Bayesian Nonparametrics
  • Bayesian Robustness
  • Biostatistics
  • Concentration Function
  • Gamma-minimax
  • Industrial Statistics
  • Mixture Models
  • Project Management
  • Queues
  • Reliability
  • Wavelets
Books Encyclopedias Papers
  • A new estimator for the covariance of the PLS coefficients estimator with applications to chemical data. (2018) Jointly with J.L. Martinez, V. Leiva, H. Saulo and G.C. Arteaga
    To appear in Journal of Chemometrics
  • Statistical Medical Fraud Assessment: Exposition to an Emerging Field. (2018) Jointly with T. Ekin, F. Ieva and R. Soyer
    To appear in International Statistical Review
  • Kriging with external drift in a Birnbaum-Saunders geostatistical model. (2018) Jointly with F. Garcia-Papani, V. Leiva and M.A. Uribe-Opazo
    Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment., vol. 32, 1517-1530.
  • Prior and Posterior Linear Pooling for Combining Expert Opinions: Uses and Impact on Bayesian Networks - The Case of the Wayfinding Model. (2018) Jointly with A.C. Farr and K.L. Mengersen
    Entropy, vol. 20, paper 209.
  • Predicting hourly ozone concentrations using wavelets and ARIMA models (2018) Jointly with L. Salazar, O. Nicolis, J. Kiselak and M. Stehlik
    To appear in Neural Computing and Applications
  • Prior Robustness for Bayesian implementation of the Fault Tree Analysis (2018) Jointly with C. Joshi and S.P. Wilson
    IEEE Transactions on Reliability, vol. 67, 170-183.
  • Adversarial issues in reliability (2018) Jointly with D. Rios Insua, R. Soyer and D.G. Rasines
    European Journal of Operational Research, vol. 266, 1113-1119.
  • Optimal maintenance policies using multiple time scales and multiple usage profiles (2017) Jointly with N. Diaz, R. Pascual and E. Lopez Droguett
    International Journal of Production Economics, vol. 188, 22-28.
  • On the Use of the Concentration Function in Medical Fraud Assessment Jointly with T. Ekin, F. Ieva and R. Soyer
    The American Statistician, vol. 71, 236-241.
  • Improved coral population estimation reveals trends at multiple scales on Australia's Great Barrier Reef Jointly with J. Vercelloni, K. Mengersen and M.J. Caley
    Ecosystems, vol. 20, 1337-1350.
  • A stochastic model for MRSA transmission within a hospital ward incorporating environmental contamination (2017) Jointly with X. Lee, G.R. Fulford and A. Pettitt
    Epidemiology and Infection, vol. 145, 825-838.
  • Modelling Wear Degradation in Cylinder Liners (2017) Jointly with S. Hermann
    Quality and Reliability Engineering International, vol. 33, 839-851.
  • A hierarchical Bayesian setting for an inverse problem in linear parabolic PDEs with noisy boundary conditions (2017) Jointly with Z. Sawlan, M. Scavino and R. Tempone
    Bayesian Analysis, vol. 12, 407-433.
  • Concentration function for skew symmetric models (2017) Jointly with L.G. de Godoi and M. Branco
    Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, vol. 31, 373-393.
  • A new methodology based on the Birnbaum-Saunders distribution for reliability analysis of nanomaterials (2017) Jointly with V. Leiva, H. Saulo and J.F. Vivanco
    Reliability Engineering and System Safety, vol. 157, 192-201.
  • Bayesian Nonparametric Clustering and Association Studies for Large-scale SNP Observations (2017) Jointly with A. Argiento, K. Hsiao and C. Wang
    International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, vol. 80, 19-35.
  • Le reti bayesiane come strumento per l'analisi di problemi complessi: il caso del bilancio partecipato in una scuola secondaria superiore (2016) Jointly with A. Ippolito
    Induzioni, vol. 53, 78-89.
  • A Bayesian approach to improve estimates to complete (2016) Jointly with F. Caron and B. Pierini
    International Journal of Project Management, vol. 34, 1687-1702.
all publications ...
10/2016 My wife's and "my" students at Liceo Scientifico Giulio Casiraghi, Cinisello Balsamo (Milano, Italy), won at TEDxYouth@Bologna for the category "Mathematics and Economics". See their video
Ph.D. courses
  • Interdottorato Milano e Pavia - Analisi bayesiana di processi stocastici (2017)
  • Technical University Dortmund, Germany - Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Process Models (2016)
  • Interdottorato Milano e Pavia - Analisi bayesiana di processi stocastici (2015)
  • Ph.D. Programme in Statistics, Universidad de Valparaiso, Chile - Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Process Models (2014)
  • School of Business - George Washington University, Washington, USA - Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Process Models (2014)
  • King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST), Jeddah, Saudi Arabia - Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Process Models (2013)
  • read more ...
Master courses
  • Maestria en Matematicas - Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Honduras, Tegucigalpa - Statistical Inference (2018)
  • Maestria en Matematicas - Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Honduras, Tegucigalpa - Nonparametric Statistics (2017)
  • Inter-University MSc of Statistics and Operations Research - On Bayesian Methods in Industrial Statistics (2010)
  • Master Oficial en la Ingenieria de la Decision, Madrid - Bayesian Reliability (2007, 2009)
  • read more ...
B.Sc. courses
  • Politecnico di Milano
    • Metodi probabilistici, statistici e processi stocastici (a.a. 1991-1992)
    • Metodi probabilistici, statistici e processi stocastici (a.a. 1995-1998)
    • Statistica Matematica (a.a. 1998-2000)
    • Metodi probabilistici, statistici e processi stocastici (a.a. 2000-2001)
    • Statistica Matematica (a.a. 2001-2002)
  • Università di Torino, Facoltà di Scienze Politiche
    • Seminari didattici su Affidabilità (a.a. 2002-2003)
    • Seminari didattici su Analisi della sopravvivenza (a.a. 2002-2003)
Dissertations
Organising and Scientific Committees
  • ISI2019 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
  • International Conference on Data Analytics for Business and Industry Bahrain
  • First Euro-Mediterranean Conference on Mathematical Reliability Djerba, Tunisia
  • ABS18 (Applied Bayesian Statistics) school Como, Italy
  • Statistics and Data Science: new Developments for Business and Industrial Applications Torino, Italy
  • International Workshop on Perspectives on High-Dimensional Data Analysis Marrakech, Morocco
  • ISI2017 Marrakech, Morocco
  • MMR2017 (Mathematical Methods in Reliability) Grenoble, France
  • ABS17 (Applied Bayesian Statistics) school Como, Italy
  • GDRR 2017 (Sixth Workshop on Games and Decisions in Reliability and Risk) Madrid, Spain
  • BISP10 (Tenth Workshop on Bayesian Inference in Stochastic Processes) Grenoble, France
  • read more ...
Invited talks
  • 9th Biennial IFC Conference Basel, Switzerland
  • 2018 Statistics Week Taiwan Taipei, Taiwan
  • ETICS Research School on Uncertainty in Scientific Computing Roscoff, France (2018)
  • International Workshop on Perspectives on High-Dimensional Data Analysis Marrakech, Morocco (2018)
  • Pontificia Universidad Catolica Valparaiso, Chile (2017)
  • First Italian-French Statistics Workshop Venezia, Italy (2017)
  • Universidad Carlos III Madrid Leganes, Spain (2017)
  • Universidad Carlos III Madrid Getafe, Spain (2017)
  • CSIC - ICMAT Madrid, Spain (2017)
  • Workshop on Quality Improvement Methods Technical University Dortmund, Germany (2017)
  • 17th Conference of the Applied Stochastic Models and Data Analysis International Society London, UK (2017)
  • Kuwait University Safat, Kuwait (2017)
  • Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Honduras r Tegucigalpa, Honduras (2017)
  • Workshop on Survival Analysis Lisbon, Portugal (2017)
  • George Washington University Washington, USA (2017)
  • read more ...
Grants
  • IMARI project (Real Istituto Elcano) (2017-2018) (Experts' Committee member)
  • Technological innovation for rational household management (Lombardia Region - CNR) (2013-2015) (Project member)
  • Smart industry for advanced and sustainable demanufacturing (Lombardia Region - CNR) (2013-2015) (Project member)
  • Expert Judgment Network: Bridging The Gap Between Scientific Uncertainty And Evidence-Based Decision Making (COST Action) (2013-) (Proposal Participant)
  • Integrated technological solutions for zero waste recycling of printed circuit boards (CNR - Ministry of Education, University and Research Flagship Project "Factory of the Future") (2013-2014) (Project member)
  • Composite nanofibers for treatment of air and water by an industrial conception of electrospinning (CNR - Ministry of Education, University and Research Flagship Project "Factory of the Future") (2013-2014) (Project member)
  • read more ...
Fellowships
  • CNR Short Term Mobility Programme (2005)
  • NATO - CNR Senior Fellowship Programme (1998)
  • National Science Foundation Conference Travel Fellowship (1994)
  • Duke University Graduate School Conference Travel Fellowship (1994)
  • Duke University Graduate School Conference Travel Fellowship (1993)
  • CNR Borsa di studio per l'estero (1989)
  • CNR Borsa di studio per l'interno (1987)
Appointments
  • Research visitor at Electricite de France, Paris, France(2016)
  • Adjunct Professor, ACEMS, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia (2016-2019)
  • Adjunct Professor, Science and Engineering Faculty and Institute for Future Environments, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia (2013-2016)
  • Foreign Faculty, Ph.D. Programme in Statistics, University of Valparaiso, Chile (2012-current)
  • Research Fellow, Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute, USA (2011-2)
  • Visiting Faculty, Business School, George Washington University, USA (2010)
  • Faculty, Doctoral School, University of Tizi-Ouzou, Algerie (2009-10)
  • International Professor Affiliate, Polytechnic Institute, New York University, USA (2009-2015)
  • Research Fellow, Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute, USA (2007-8)
  • Member of the Coordinating Committee of the Master for the Applications of Mathematics in Industry, Università di Milano Bicocca, Italy (2005-8)
  • Member of the Advisory Board of the Ph.D. Programme in Mathematical Engineering, Politecnico di Milano, Italy (2004-current)
  • Faculty, Master for the Applications of Mathematics in Industry, Università di Milano Bicocca, Italy (2003-8)
  • Faculty, Ph.D. Programme in Mathematics and Statistics, Università di Pavia, Italy (2001-current)
  • Faculty, Ph.D. Programme in Mathematical Statistics, Università di Pavia, Italy (1999-2001)
  • Adjunct Professor, Politecnico di Milano, Italy (1995-2003)
  • Visiting Researcher, Duke University, USA (1998)
  • Visiting Researcher, Duke University, USA (1997)
Editorial activity
  • Editor (1999-2002) of the ISBA (International Society for Bayesian Analysis) Bulletin
  • Guest editor of Vol. 20, issue 3 (2004) of Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry
  • Guest editor of Vol. 22, issue 2 (2006) of Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry
  • Guest editor of a special issue of International Journal of Approximate Reasoning (2009) on Bayesian robustness
  • Guest editor of a special issue of Decision Analysis (2009) on Games and Decisions in Risk and Reliability
  • Editor-in-Chief (since 2007) of Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry
  • Editor (2003-2007) of Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry
  • Editor (2003-2010) of Bayesian Analysis
  • read more ...
Service and membership
  • ISI (International Statistical Institute) Vice President (2017-2021)
  • Member of the Zellner Medal committee (2015-2016)
  • Chair ISBA Section on Industrial Statistics (2017-2018)
  • Chair-Elect ISBA Section on Industrial Statistics (2015-2016)
  • Member of the selection committee for ISBA Editors (2015)
  • Member of the selection committee for International Statistical Reviews Editor (2009)
  • ISI (International Statistical Institute) Pubblication Committee Member (2013-2015)
  • ISI (International Statistical Institute) Council Member (2013-2017)
  • read more ...

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