Fabrizio Ruggeri

Research Director at the Italian National Research Council in Milano

Highlights

Forthcoming invited talks

  • 7/6/2018 ETICS Research School on Uncertainty in Scientific Computing Roscoff, France
  • 31/8/2018 Final panel at 9th biennial IFC Conference on "Are post-crisis statistical initiatives completed?" Basel, Switzerland
  • 5/11/2018 2018 Statistics Week Taiwan Taipei, Taiwan

Education

B.Sc. Mathematics - University of Milano
M.Sc. Statistics - Carnegie Mellon University
Ph.D. Statistics - Duke University

Current Research
  • Robust Bayesian Analysis for Generalized Extreme Value Models
  • Software Testing and Adversarial Risk Analysis
  • Hypothesis testing in presence of adversaries
  • Adversarial classification: An adversarial risk analysis approach
  • Assessing Supply Chain Cyber Risks
  • Dynamic linear models for policy monitoring. The case of maternal and neonatal mortality in Ghana
  • Advances in Bayesian Games and Decisions in Reliability
  • Project Risk Management under Dynamic Environments
  • Bayesian model for mapping in the presence of underreported data: the case of neonatal deaths in Minas Gerais
  • Bivariate Extension of Classes of Priors based on Stochastic Orders and Distortion Functions
  • Modeling of air pollution evolution through blocks of Haar wavelets
  • Combining opinions for use in Bayesian Networks: a Measurement Error Approach
  • Encoding partial pairwise comparisons allowing experts to be incomplete, incoherent, uncertain or inaccurate: variable choice for input to species distribution modelling
  • Combining Elicited Probabilities in Bayesian Belief Networks
  • Comparison not Calibration of Probabilities in Bayesian Networks: Eliciting Marginal Probabilities from Multiple Experts with Uncertainty
  • Computationally Efficient Simulation of Queues: The R Package queuecomputer
  • Likelihood-Free Parameter Estimation for Dynamic Queueing Networks
  • Endogenous and Exogenous Effects in Self-exciting Process Models of Terrorist Activity
  • Modelling the Spread of Terrorism Via Diffusion and Contagion
  • Bayesian Network Learning and Inferencing With Uncertain Evidence and Parameters
  • Parametric survival analysis of hospital ward MRSA incidence allowing for carryover effect from previous cases
  • Bayesian Robustness in Change Point Analysis
  • Bayesian modeling of virtual age in repairable systems
  • A Self-Exciting Process with Latent Variables for Software Failures
  • Bayesian co-clustering models in healthcare fraud detection
  • Birnbaum-Saunders ANOVA method applied to fatigue of nanomaterials
  • Statistical quality control using the Birnbaum-Saunders distribution
  • Recent developments in non-industrial applications of control charts and identification of future trends using a bibliometric study of current research
  • An asymmetric area model-based approach with link functions for small area estimation applied to survey data
  • A new estimator for the covariance of the PLS coefficients estimator with applications to chemical data
  • Bayesian models for software reliability using metrics information
Interests
  • Adversarial Risk Analysis
  • Bayesian Analysis
  • Bayesian Decision Theory
  • Bayesian Nonparametrics
  • Bayesian Robustness
  • Biostatistics
  • Concentration Function
  • Gamma-minimax
  • Industrial Statistics
  • Mixture Models
  • Project Management
  • Queues
  • Reliability
  • Wavelets
Books Encyclopedias Papers
  • Statistical Medical Fraud Assessment: Exposition to an Emerging Field. (2018) Jointly with T. Ekin, F. Ieva and R. Soyer
    To appear in International Statistical Review
  • Kriging with external drift in a Birnbaum-Saunders geostatistical model. (2018) Jointly with F. Garcia-Papani, V. Leiva and M.A. Uribe-Opazo
    To appear in Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment.
  • Prior and Posterior Linear Pooling for Combining Expert Opinions: Uses and Impact on Bayesian Networks - The Case of the Wayfinding Model. (2018) Jointly with A.C. Farr and K.L. Mengersen
    Entropy, vol. 20, paper 209.
  • Predicting hourly ozone concentrations using wavelets and ARIMA models (2018) Jointly with L. Salazar, O. Nicolis, J. Kiselak and M. Stehlik
    To appear in Neural Computing and Applications
  • Prior Robustness for Bayesian implementation of the Fault Tree Analysis (2018) Jointly with C. Joshi and S.P. Wilson
    IEEE Transactions on Reliability, vol. 67, 170-183.
  • Adversarial issues in reliability (2018) Jointly with D. Rios Insua, R. Soyer and D.G. Rasines
    European Journal of Operational Research, vol. 266, 1113-1119.
  • Optimal maintenance policies using multiple time scales and multiple usage profiles (2017) Jointly with N. Diaz, R. Pascual and E. Lopez Droguett
    International Journal of Production Economics, vol. 188, 22-28.
  • On the Use of the Concentration Function in Medical Fraud Assessment Jointly with T. Ekin, F. Ieva and R. Soyer
    The American Statistician, vol. 71, 236-241.
  • Improved coral population estimation reveals trends at multiple scales on Australia's Great Barrier Reef Jointly with J. Vercelloni, K. Mengersen and M.J. Caley
    Ecosystems, vol. 20, 1337-1350.
  • A stochastic model for MRSA transmission within a hospital ward incorporating environmental contamination (2017) Jointly with X. Lee, G.R. Fulford and A. Pettitt
    Epidemiology and Infection, vol. 145, 825-838.
  • Modelling Wear Degradation in Cylinder Liners (2017) Jointly with S. Hermann
    Quality and Reliability Engineering International, vol. 33, 839-851.
  • A hierarchical Bayesian setting for an inverse problem in linear parabolic PDEs with noisy boundary conditions (2017) Jointly with Z. Sawlan, M. Scavino and R. Tempone
    Bayesian Analysis, vol. 12, 407-433.
  • Concentration function for skew symmetric models (2017) Jointly with L.G. de Godoi and M. Branco
    Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics, vol. 31, 373-393.
  • A new methodology based on the Birnbaum-Saunders distribution for reliability analysis of nanomaterials (2017) Jointly with V. Leiva, H. Saulo and J.F. Vivanco
    Reliability Engineering and System Safety, vol. 157, 192-201.
  • Bayesian Nonparametric Clustering and Association Studies for Large-scale SNP Observations (2017) Jointly with A. Argiento, K. Hsiao and C. Wang
    International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, vol. 80, 19-35.
  • Le reti bayesiane come strumento per l'analisi di problemi complessi: il caso del bilancio partecipato in una scuola secondaria superiore (2016) Jointly with A. Ippolito
    Induzioni, vol. 53, 78-89.
  • A Bayesian approach to improve estimates to complete (2016) Jointly with F. Caron and B. Pierini
    International Journal of Project Management, vol. 34, 1687-1702.
all publications ...
10/2016 My wife's and "my" students at Liceo Scientifico Giulio Casiraghi, Cinisello Balsamo (Milano, Italy), won at TEDxYouth@Bologna for the category "Mathematics and Economics". See their video
Ph.D. courses
  • Interdottorato Milano e Pavia - Analisi bayesiana di processi stocastici (2017)
  • Technical University Dortmund, Germany - Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Process Models (2016)
  • Interdottorato Milano e Pavia - Analisi bayesiana di processi stocastici (2015)
  • Ph.D. Programme in Statistics, Universidad de Valparaiso, Chile - Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Process Models (2014)
  • School of Business - George Washington University, Washington, USA - Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Process Models (2014)
  • King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST), Jeddah, Saudi Arabia - Bayesian Analysis of Stochastic Process Models (2013)
  • read more ...
Master courses
  • Maestria en Matematicas - Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Honduras, Tegucigalpa - Statistical Inference (2018)
  • Maestria en Matematicas - Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Honduras, Tegucigalpa - Nonparametric Statistics (2017)
  • Inter-University MSc of Statistics and Operations Research - On Bayesian Methods in Industrial Statistics (2010)
  • Master Oficial en la Ingenieria de la Decision, Madrid - Bayesian Reliability (2007, 2009)
  • read more ...
B.Sc. courses
  • Politecnico di Milano
    • Metodi probabilistici, statistici e processi stocastici (a.a. 1991-1992)
    • Metodi probabilistici, statistici e processi stocastici (a.a. 1995-1998)
    • Statistica Matematica (a.a. 1998-2000)
    • Metodi probabilistici, statistici e processi stocastici (a.a. 2000-2001)
    • Statistica Matematica (a.a. 2001-2002)
  • Università di Torino, Facoltà di Scienze Politiche
    • Seminari didattici su Affidabilità (a.a. 2002-2003)
    • Seminari didattici su Analisi della sopravvivenza (a.a. 2002-2003)
Dissertations
Organising and Scientific Committees
  • ISI2019 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
  • International Conference on Data Analytics for Business and Industry Bahrain
  • First Euro-Mediterranean Conference on Mathematical Reliability Djerba, Tunisia
  • ABS18 (Applied Bayesian Statistics) school Como, Italy
  • Statistics and Data Science: new Developments for Business and Industrial Applications Torino, Italy
  • International Workshop on Perspectives on High-Dimensional Data Analysis Marrakech, Morocco
  • ISI2017 Marrakech, Morocco
  • MMR2017 (Mathematical Methods in Reliability) Grenoble, France
  • ABS17 (Applied Bayesian Statistics) school Como, Italy
  • GDRR 2017 (Sixth Workshop on Games and Decisions in Reliability and Risk) Madrid, Spain
  • BISP10 (Tenth Workshop on Bayesian Inference in Stochastic Processes) Grenoble, France
  • read more ...
Invited talks
  • 9th Biennial IFC Conference Basel, Switzerland
  • 2018 Statistics Week Taiwan Taipei, Taiwan
  • ETICS Research School on Uncertainty in Scientific Computing Roscoff, France (2018)
  • International Workshop on Perspectives on High-Dimensional Data Analysis Marrakech, Morocco (2018)
  • Pontificia Universidad Catolica Valparaiso, Chile (2017)
  • First Italian-French Statistics Workshop Venezia, Italy (2017)
  • Universidad Carlos III Madrid Leganes, Spain (2017)
  • Universidad Carlos III Madrid Getafe, Spain (2017)
  • CSIC - ICMAT Madrid, Spain (2017)
  • Workshop on Quality Improvement Methods Technical University Dortmund, Germany (2017)
  • 17th Conference of the Applied Stochastic Models and Data Analysis International Society London, UK (2017)
  • Kuwait University Safat, Kuwait (2017)
  • Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Honduras r Tegucigalpa, Honduras (2017)
  • Workshop on Survival Analysis Lisbon, Portugal (2017)
  • George Washington University Washington, USA (2017)
  • read more ...
Grants
  • IMARI project (Real Istituto Elcano) (2017-2018) (Experts' Committee member)
  • Technological innovation for rational household management (Lombardia Region - CNR) (2013-2015) (Project member)
  • Smart industry for advanced and sustainable demanufacturing (Lombardia Region - CNR) (2013-2015) (Project member)
  • Expert Judgment Network: Bridging The Gap Between Scientific Uncertainty And Evidence-Based Decision Making (COST Action) (2013-) (Proposal Participant)
  • Integrated technological solutions for zero waste recycling of printed circuit boards (CNR - Ministry of Education, University and Research Flagship Project "Factory of the Future") (2013-2014) (Project member)
  • Composite nanofibers for treatment of air and water by an industrial conception of electrospinning (CNR - Ministry of Education, University and Research Flagship Project "Factory of the Future") (2013-2014) (Project member)
  • read more ...
Fellowships
  • CNR Short Term Mobility Programme (2005)
  • NATO - CNR Senior Fellowship Programme (1998)
  • National Science Foundation Conference Travel Fellowship (1994)
  • Duke University Graduate School Conference Travel Fellowship (1994)
  • Duke University Graduate School Conference Travel Fellowship (1993)
  • CNR Borsa di studio per l'estero (1989)
  • CNR Borsa di studio per l'interno (1987)
Appointments
  • Research visitor at Electricite de France, Paris, France(2016)
  • Adjunct Professor, ACEMS, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia (2016-2019)
  • Adjunct Professor, Science and Engineering Faculty and Institute for Future Environments, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia (2013-2016)
  • Foreign Faculty, Ph.D. Programme in Statistics, University of Valparaiso, Chile (2012-current)
  • Research Fellow, Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute, USA (2011-2)
  • Visiting Faculty, Business School, George Washington University, USA (2010)
  • Faculty, Doctoral School, University of Tizi-Ouzou, Algerie (2009-10)
  • International Professor Affiliate, Polytechnic Institute, New York University, USA (2009-2015)
  • Research Fellow, Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute, USA (2007-8)
  • Member of the Coordinating Committee of the Master for the Applications of Mathematics in Industry, Università di Milano Bicocca, Italy (2005-8)
  • Member of the Advisory Board of the Ph.D. Programme in Mathematical Engineering, Politecnico di Milano, Italy (2004-current)
  • Faculty, Master for the Applications of Mathematics in Industry, Università di Milano Bicocca, Italy (2003-8)
  • Faculty, Ph.D. Programme in Mathematics and Statistics, Università di Pavia, Italy (2001-current)
  • Faculty, Ph.D. Programme in Mathematical Statistics, Università di Pavia, Italy (1999-2001)
  • Adjunct Professor, Politecnico di Milano, Italy (1995-2003)
  • Visiting Researcher, Duke University, USA (1998)
  • Visiting Researcher, Duke University, USA (1997)
Editorial activity
  • Editor (1999-2002) of the ISBA (International Society for Bayesian Analysis) Bulletin
  • Guest editor of Vol. 20, issue 3 (2004) of Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry
  • Guest editor of Vol. 22, issue 2 (2006) of Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry
  • Guest editor of a special issue of International Journal of Approximate Reasoning (2009) on Bayesian robustness
  • Guest editor of a special issue of Decision Analysis (2009) on Games and Decisions in Risk and Reliability
  • Editor-in-Chief (since 2007) of Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry
  • Editor (2003-2007) of Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry
  • Editor (2003-2010) of Bayesian Analysis
  • read more ...
Service and membership
  • ISI (International Statistical Institute) Vice President (2017-2021)
  • Member of the Zellner Medal committee (2015-2016)
  • Chair ISBA Section on Industrial Statistics (2017-2018)
  • Chair-Elect ISBA Section on Industrial Statistics (2015-2016)
  • Member of the selection committee for ISBA Editors (2015)
  • Member of the selection committee for International Statistical Reviews Editor (2009)
  • ISI (International Statistical Institute) Pubblication Committee Member (2013-2015)
  • ISI (International Statistical Institute) Council Member (2013-2017)
  • read more ...

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