Conference on BAYESIAN NONPARAMETRICS

BELGIRATE (ITALY) June, 17-19th, 1997

Last update: 9/6/1997

Villa Carlotta



The conference is organised by the Istituto per le Applicazioni della Matematica e dell'Informatica of Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche (CNR-IAMI).

NEW: Updated train schedule

PROGRAMME

The programme consists of invited lectures (50 minutes each + 10 minutes for floor discussion), special contributed talks (25 minutes each + 5 minutes for floor discussion) and contributed talks (12 minutes each + 3 minutes for floor discussion).

(*) denotes the speaker

Monday June 16th

18.00-20.00 Welcome cocktail and registration
20.00-22.00 Dinner

Tuesday June 17th

8.00- 9.00 Registration
Session 1. Chair: E. Regazzini (CNR-IAMI, Università Bocconi)
9.00-10.00 M. West (*) (Duke University) and F. Ruggeri (CNR-IAMI):
Time series on Polya trees: Nonparametric Bayesian autoregressions
10.00-11.00 E. Arjas (*) and J. Heikkinen (Oulu University):
Nonparametric Bayesian intensity estimation from point pattern data
11.00-11.30 Coffee break
Session 2. Chair: A. van der Linde (University of Bremen)
11.30-12.30 M. Lavine (Duke University):
Polya trees: a review
13.00-14.00 Lunch

Session 3. Chair: W. Polasek (University of Basel)
14.30-15.00 P. Müller (*) and G. Rosner (Duke University):
A longitudinal data model with non-parametric random effects prior
15.00-15.30 A. Ongaro (Università di Padova):
A general class of nonparametric prior distributions which includes the Dirichlet process
15.30-16.00 S. Petrone (Università di Pavia):
A prior for Bayesian nonparametric inference based on Bernstein polynomials
16.00-16.30 L. Tardella (Università di Roma and Duke University):
Some Robustness Issues in Modelling Bayesian Nonparametrics
16.30-17.00 A. Guglielmi (CNR-IAMI):
Numerical analysis for distribution functions of means of a Dirichlet process
17.00-17.30 Coffee break
Session 4. Chair: E. George (University of Texas)
17.30-17.45 J. Bernardo (University of Valencia):
Bayesian Kernel Density Estimation
17.45-18.00 S. Fortini (*) (Università Bocconi), L. Ladelli (Università di Milano) and E. Regazzini (CNR-IAMI, Università Bocconi )
Characterization of Exchangeable Laws
18.00-18.15 K. Hirano (Harvard University):
Semiparametric Bayesian Models for Longitudinal Earnings Data
18.15-18.30 G. Jona Lasinio (*) and P.L. Conti (Università di Roma):
Bayesian and Linear Bayesian Inference on Regression Functions using Orthonormal Expansions
18.30-18.45 D. Malec (*) (National Center for Health Statistics) and P. Müller (Duke University):
Small Area Estimation of U.S. Health Outcomes Using Mixtures of Dirichlet Processes
19.30-20.30 Dinner

Wednesday June 18th

Session 5. Chair: D.M. Cifarelli (Università Bocconi )
9.00-10.00 P. Diaconis (Cornell University):
Markov moment problems and de Finetti's theorem
10.00-11.00 E. Regazzini (*) (CNR-IAMI and Università Bocconi) and V.V. Sazonov (Steklov Institute):
On approximation of random probability measures by mixtures of Dirichlet processes with application to Bayesian inference
11.00-11.30 Coffee break
Session 6. Chair: J.O. Berger (Duke University)
11.30-12.30 M. Escobar (University of Toronto):
Applications with Dirichlet Processes: Revisiting the Beckett-Diaconis Tack Data
13.00-14.00 Lunch

Session 7. Chair: J. Bernardo (University of Valencia)
14.30-15.00 C. Carota (Università di Pavia):
Further Results with Dirichlet process priors
15.00-15.30 G. Petris (Duke University):
Bayesian Analysis of Long Memory Time Series
15.30-16.00 S. Walker (Imperial College):
A Note on the Scale Parameter of the Dirichlet Process
16.00-16.30 Coffee break
Session 8. Chair: D. Rios Insua (Universidad Rey Juan Carlos)
16.30-16.45 M. Mezzetti (*) (European Institute of Oncology) and P. Giudici (Università di Pavia):
Nonparametric estimation of survival function by means of partial exchangeability structure
16.45-17.00 W. Polasek (University of Basel):
A Bayesian semiparametric analysis of ARCH models
17.00-17.15 E. Sarno (Università di Napoli):
Dependence Structures of Polya Tree Autoregressive Models
17.15-17.30 A. van der Linde (University of Bremen):
Smoothing in Generalized Regression Models
20.30-21.30 Dinner

Thursday June 19th

Session 9. Chair: M. West (Duke University):
9.00-10.00 N. Hjort (Oslo University):
Local Bayesian Regression
10.00-11.00 P. Muliere (*) (Università di Pavia) and S. Walker (Imperial College):
Prior processes in the presence of censoring
11.00-11.30 Coffee break
Session 10. Chair: F. Ruggeri (CNR-IAMI):
11.30-12.30 P. Laud (Medical College of Wisconsin):
Bayesian Analysis of Models for Survival Data
13.00-14.00 Lunch

ORGANISING COMMITTEE

Donato Michele Cifarelli (Università Bocconi, Italy)
Alessandra Guglielmi (CNR-IAMI, Italy)
Eugenio Regazzini (CNR-IAMI and Università Bocconi, Italy)
David Rios Insua (Universidad Rey Juan Carlos, Spain)
Fabrizio Ruggeri (CNR-IAMI, Italy)
Mike West (Duke University, USA)

OTHER PARTICIPANTS

Bruno Bassan (Rome University, Italy)
Jim Berger (Duke University, USA)
Bruno Betrò (CNR-IAMI, Italy)
Rajeev Dehejia (Harvard University, USA)
Carla Brambilla (CNR-IAMI, Italy)
Marco Campi (Brescia University, Italy)
Ilenia Epifani (Bocconi University, Italy)
Edward George (University of Texas, USA)
Lucia Ladelli (Milan University, Italy)
Antonio Lijoi (Bocconi University, Italy)
Eugenio Melilli (Bocconi University, Italy)
Marco Perone Pacifico (Rome University, Italy)
Marco Pievatolo (CNR-IAMI, Italy)
Giuliana Regoli (University of Perugia, Italy)
David Rios Insua (Universidad Rey Juan Carlos, Spain)
Renata Rotondi (CNR-IAMI, Italy)
Fabrizio Ruggeri (CNR-IAMI, Italy)
Viatcheslav Sazonov (Steklov Institute, Russia)
Piercesare Secchi (University of Pavia, Italy)

GENERAL INFORMATION

Location

Belgirate is a small town on the Lake Maggiore, 70 Km. north of Milano.

Hotel Villa Carlotta
Via Mazzini, 121/125 -- I-28040 Belgirate (VB)
Tel. +39 322 76461 -- Fax. +39 322 76705

Hotel Milano
Via Mazzini, 4 -- I-28040 Belgirate (VB)
Tel. +39 322 76525 -- Fax. +39 322 76295

Both Hotels are Four Star Hotels, affiliated with Best Western. Hotel Villa Carlotta ( picture), hosting the conference, is a XIX century villa within a secular park, on the lakefront.

Directions to Belgirate

Bus schedule from Malpensa to Gallarate will be available on June, 10th.

People arriving in
  • Milano Linate (LIN) Airport : buses operated by STAM connect, very frequently, Linate Airport to Milano Centrale F.S. (15 minutes) where trains leave to Stresa. Direct trains to Belgirate are leaving from Milano Porta Garibaldi F.S., which can be reached by subway (Line 2 to Famagosta, two stops) from Centrale F.S. (The two railways stations can be reached by city bus 73 from Linate to San Babila (subway Line 1) and subway (commuting at Loreto stop)).
  • Milano Malpensa (MPX) Airport : buses operated by Air Pullman connect Malpensa Airport to Gallarate F.S. (Railways Station). In winter they were leaving at 8.00, 9.00, 9.55, 10.45, 11.33, 12.26, 12.56, 13.30, 14.33, 15.30, 16.30, 17.41, 18.55. Travel time is 15-25 minutes (depending on the bus route).

    Trains are leaving Gallarate to Belgirate at 9.44, 13.08, 14.24 (+ bus from Arona at 15.11), 17.24, 18.15 (Mon-Fri), 19.12 (Mon-Fri), 20.49 (travel time 45 minutes). Other trains are connecting Gallarate to Stresa. at 8.43, 10.02, 10.56, 12.02, 14.00, 15.02, 15.54, 16.56, 18.02, 19.42, 21.58 (travel time 30 minutes; some IC/EC trains require an extra payment).

    Buses operated by Malpensa Shuttle connect Malpensa Airport to Milano Centrale F.S. in one hour (departure every 30 minutes on the hour and shalf hour).
  • Milano Centrale F.S: trains are leaving at 7.15, 7.25, 8.15, 9.25, 10.15, 10.25, 11.15, 11.25, 13.25, 14.25, 15.25, 17.15, 17.25, 18.15, 19.05, 21.25 (reaches Belgirate at 22.34) and they take approx. 1 hour to reach Stresa. Some trains require an extra payment (IC/EC/CIS).
  • Milano Porta Garibaldi F.S: trains are leaving at 9.10, 12.38, 13.40 (+ bus from Arona at 15.11), 16.49, 17.32 (Mon-Fri), 18.22 (Mon-Fri), 20.10 and they take 75-80 minutes to reach Belgirate.
  • Stresa: taxi (Lit. 25.000-30.000), boats and buses are available to reach Belgirate in 5-10 minutes. Trains to Belgirate are leaving at 10.21, 13.03, 14.35, 16.46, 19.00.

    • Accommodation


    CHECK with Hotel Villa Carlotta about rooms availability (since April, 10th, was the deadline).

    Full board from the evening of June, 16th, to the afternoon of June, 19th, will cost, per person:

    Hotel Villa Carlotta: Lit. 525.000 (single room), Lit. 450.000 (double room).

    Hotel Milano : Lit. 480.000 (single room), Lit. 405.000 (double room).

    Costs for shorter stays will be provided upon request.

    Costs for extra nights are as follows (in Lit.): 

                           Hotel Villa Carlotta             Hotel Milano

                       Single       Double           Single       Double

 Bed and Breakfast    120.000      185.000          105.000      160.000 
 Half Board           150.000      125.000          135.000      110.000 
 Full Board           175.000      150.000          160.000      135.000
    A deposit of Lit. 150.000 (per person) must accompany the hotel reservation form, to be sent to Hotel Villa Carlotta by April, 10th, 1997.
    As of March, 6th, 1997, 1 US$ = Lit. 1708.

    Registration

    There is no registration fee.

    Participants are requested to fill     the hotel reservation form and send it to the Hotel by April, 10th, 1997.
    Participiants are kindly asked to send the the registration form to workshop@mi.imati.cnr.it (before April, 30th, 1997, if submitting an abstract).

    Hotel reservation

    The deposit may be paid by means of
  • Check or International Cheque payable to Hotel Villa Carlotta - Belgirate
  • Vaglia Telegrafico (Italy only)
  • Bank transfer to Account n. 5761 - Istituto Bancario S. Paolo - Arona;
    Bank coordinates: ABI 01025, CAB 45130
  • Credit Card
    • The hotel reservation form must reach Hotel Villa Carlotta by April, 10th, enclosing the cheque or copy of the receipt of the Bank transfer (or vaglia) or the credit card number (with expiration date). Fax can be used to send the hotel reservation form, provided that either the credit card data or a copy of the receipt of the Bank transfer (or vaglia) is enclosed. Reservations not accompanied by the payment of the deposit will not be accepted.

    The payment must be without any charges for the beneficiary. It is regretted that refunds cannot be made for later cancellation. If the room is not occupied on the first day of reservation, accomodation will not be guaranteed and the deposit will be forfeited.

    Hotel reservation forms are available in the following formats:
  • ASCII
  • Postscript
    • Since Lake Maggiore is a very popular resort in June, participants are advised to book the hotel as soon as possible.

    Registration form

    The registration form must reach CNR-IAMI, possibly by e-mail to workshop@mi.imati.cnr.it.

    The form must reach CNR-IAMI before April, 30th, if an abstract is enclosed.

    Registration forms are available in the following formats:
  • ASCII
  • Postscript

    • Deadlines

    April, 10th, 1997: Hotel deposit

    April, 30th, 1997: Abstracts

    Address for correspondence (e-mail is recommended)

    Conference on Bayesian Nonparametrics
    c/o CNR-IAMI
    via A.M. Ampere 56
    I - 20131 Milano (Italy)
    Telephone: +39 2 70643206 (F. Ruggeri) - 70643207 (A. Guglielmi)
    Fax: +39 2 70643212
    E-mail: workshop@mi.imati.cnr.it